Will a Manifold user show up in the same picture as Donald Trump before the end of 2024?
1
17
Ṁ30Ṁ120
2025
37%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves 'Yes' if someone presents an untampered picture of a Manifold user alongside Donald Trump in the same image before the end of 2024.
It is acceptable if the individual appears as a minor figure in the background, provided there is clear evidence of their presence. Only Manifold accounts created before Jan 2024 are considered
Get Ṁ200 play money
Related questions
Will a Manifold user show up in the same picture as Joe Biden before the end of 2024?
46% chance
Will Manifold be in the NYT again before the end of 2024?
61% chance
Will Manifold successfully predict the Time's Person of the Year 2024?
43% chance
Will a Manifold user show up in the same picture as Taylor Swift before the end of 2024?
48% chance
Will a Manifold mod blatantly abuse their power by the end of 2024?
31% chance
If Trump posts a screenshot/link to Manifold, will the 2024 US Presidential Election swing by more than 10% within 24h?
56% chance
How accurately will Manifold predict the 2024 Presidential Election?
0.00
Will a Manifold celebrity appear on the Joe Rogan Experience by EOY 2024?
62% chance
If Trump wins, will Manifold users vote that his performance has been better than they expected by the midterms?
38% chance
Will a manifold user do something very cool by the end of 2029?
27% chance