Market Description
This market is a ranking competition in which human (who is alive as of Dec 14, 2025) are evaluated across three traits: Physical Strength, Intelligence, and Wealth.
Scoring System
I will select 5-10 human with best winning chance to rank.
Ranks 1 through 10 will earn 10, 9, 8, 7, 6, 5, 4, 3, 2, 1 points respectively.
An option’s overall score is the sum of the points it receives across all three trait rankings.
The option with the highest overall score will be declared the winner of this market.
While personal preference and subjective judgment cannot be eliminated entirely, I will make a good-faith effort to answer questions and explain how I evaluate each trait and determine relative rankings.
I anticipate that cross intelligence comparison would be particularly subjective, if you ask me in the comments early on I will try my best to provide my answer to, for example, whether a specific chess world champion, fields medal winner, inventor, or hedge fund manager is considered more intelligent than the other option in my opinion.
Eligible Options
At a randomized closing time (to be announced), I will select the 5-10 options that I believe have the strongest prospects of winning.
Only these 5-10 options will be considered for all trait rankings and overall scoring.
I will make an announcement at least 2 days before the randomize closing period is set.
Market Resolution
The market will resolve based on the option that finishes with the highest overall score under the scoring system described above.
Notes:
If it is debatable whether certain human exist or is alive or not, I reserve the right to disqualify such option.
Update 2025-12-14 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): All three traits (Physical Strength, Intelligence, and Wealth) will be evaluated based on current levels as of the resolution date, not peak historical levels.
Update 2025-12-14 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Physical Strength will be evaluated primarily based on strength to move or carry objects (e.g., weightlifting capacity). Endurance activities like marathon running are considered a separate trait and will not be factored into the Physical Strength ranking. Skill in applying strength may matter at the margin (e.g., to the extent it affects how much weight someone can lift).
Update 2025-12-15 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Dr. Younghoon Kim has been disqualified from consideration due to concerns about legitimacy.
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@khang2009 I find it interesting that of all the big tech billionaires Zuckerberg seems to be the only one with a great family life. It's especially interesting since he also is the one who gets most memed as "robotic".
Basically the big hidden factor here is how many individuals from each primary category you select for the final tally.
For example, if you select one strongman and several billionaires, some of those billionaires will get easy strongman points. Whereas if you select several strongmen, the billionaires will not get many strongman points.
It's very different to if you scored everyone on the list, or if you scored them via an independent scale rather than by relative rankings.
Even a single swap in the final 5-10 could quite likely change the winner.
@marvingardens This also means that "I will select 5-10 human with best winning chance to rank." doesn't quite work, since the choices affect each others' winning chances -- a lot.
what men worship in other men is truly bizarre
@Lorelai This market is missing other factors that people value, like morality, “honour”, honesty, looks, humility, confidence… infinitely long list, some of these may relate to you, some of them may not. Determination of “greatest” depends entirely on what attributes you value in people, the top list here clearly reflect manifold users’ values…
@AmmonLam when determining scores, what will a score of 1 equal? Example: will 1 point for intelligence equal that of the least intelligent human possible, that of the least intelligent among your final candidates, or something else entirely?
@bens This is just résumé worship. Yes, Page was smart in grad school. Lots of PhDs build clever systems. The leap from “good CS researcher in the 90s” to “auto-wins INT forever” is completely unjustified.
@prismatic oh woah, my first thought was “oh this is AI drivel” but then the phrase “auto-wins INT forever” sounded kind of too human! I was actually impressed with your writing style. Guess AI is getting better at this kind of thing 😆