Resolve according to https://coinmarketcap.com/currencies/bitcoin/historical-data/
(I believe coinmarketcap use UTC time zone)
Resoles Yes if bitcoin price has went over $75000 before a certain date ends
*Traders familiar with my market will know that I usually use Yahoo Finance historical price for resolution source. However, I've noticed occasional delays where it takes over a day for Yahoo Finance to update the end-of-day prices. To ensure swift resolution of this daily market, I've decided to use Coinmarketcap data instead.
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@deagol There has been a gain of 10k in 3 days in the last 6 months. Over 12k in 1.5 days is considerably faster rate of gain so very unlikely and should the very unlikely happen then it can probably be re-resolved. Given the pivot and pressure for mana before 15th, I think this is very sensible.
@deagol
I wrote this on my bio about a week ago:
>>> I'll be experimenting an early resolution policy. For my markets where the chance of resolving Yes is at 99% or chance of resolving No is at 1%, I might resolve them early to release liquidities for traders. In the 1% case that a black swan happened and the market became mis-resolved, I'll contact mods to have it unresolved.
@deagol Do you think this might be a good idea? or do you think the cost (e.g. confusion it causes) just outweighs the benefit?
@AmmonLam I really don't mind either way, not much liquidity in these anyway. Just thought it may have been a misclick, but if intended I have no complaints.
@AmmonLam I think probably not worth it except for markets that would otherwise resolve more than a month or so in the future. Early resolution means people can't trade on the black swan if it happens in the next 24h, so that's one downside on top of a bit of confusion.