When will bitcoin break $75000? (which day?)
45
852
15K
Dec 31
1%
Before the end of May 2, 2024
1%
Before the end of May 3, 2024
1.1%
Before the end of May 4, 2024
1.2%
Before the end of May 5, 2024
1.7%
Before the end of May 6, 2024
2%
Before the end of May 7, 2024
3%
Before the end of May 8, 2024
3%
Before the end of May 9, 2024
3%
Before the end of May 10, 2024
4%
Before the end of May 11, 2024
4%
Before the end of May 12, 2024
4%
Before the end of May 13, 2024
5%
Before the end of May 14, 2024
5%
Before the end of May 15, 2024
6%
Before the end of May 16, 2024
6%
Before the end of May 17, 2024
6%
Before the end of May 18, 2024
7%
Before the end of May 19, 2024
7%
Before the end of May 20, 2024
7%
Before the end of May 21, 2024

Resolve according to https://coinmarketcap.com/currencies/bitcoin/historical-data/
(I believe coinmarketcap use UTC time zone)

Resoles Yes if bitcoin price has went over $75000 before a certain date ends

*Traders familiar with my market will know that I usually use Yahoo Finance historical price for resolution source. However, I've noticed occasional delays where it takes over a day for Yahoo Finance to update the end-of-day prices. To ensure swift resolution of this daily market, I've decided to use Coinmarketcap data instead.

Get Ṁ200 play money
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April 29 can resolve NO @AmmonLam

bought Ṁ40 Before the end of Ma... NO

Apr 27 can resolve @AmmonLam

April 25th can resolve @AmmonLam

Before the end of April 17, 2024

@AmmonLam resolved prematurely.

@deagol unresolved

@deagol

I wrote this on my bio about a week ago:
>>> I'll be experimenting an early resolution policy. For my markets where the chance of resolving Yes is at 99% or chance of resolving No is at 1%, I might resolve them early to release liquidities for traders. In the 1% case that a black swan happened and the market became mis-resolved, I'll contact mods to have it unresolved.

@deagol Do you think this might be a good idea? or do you think the cost (e.g. confusion it causes) just outweighs the benefit?

@AmmonLam I really don't mind either way, not much liquidity in these anyway. Just thought it may have been a misclick, but if intended I have no complaints.

@AmmonLam I think probably not worth it except for markets that would otherwise resolve more than a month or so in the future. Early resolution means people can't trade on the black swan if it happens in the next 24h, so that's one downside on top of a bit of confusion.

@chrisjbillington good feedback. I'll abandon this idea for now

@AmmonLam please resolve last few days, thanks.

@AmmonLam some more

bought Ṁ249 Before the end of Ma... NO

@AmmonLam please resolve last 4 days, thanks.

@AmmonLam idem, redux, deja vu, etc. 😉

@AmmonLam can you please resolve the last two days? thanks!

Before the end of March 15th, 2024

This can be resolved

What is the timezone used to resolve this?

@HarrisonNathan I believe coinmarketcap is in UTC time

regardless, resolution is based on coinmarketcap data

@AmmonLam Just wanted to make sure it was unambiguous.