When will bitcoin break $75000? (which day?)
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Plus
52
Ṁ310k
resolved Jun 2
Resolved
NO
Before the end of March 14th, 2024
Resolved
NO
Before the end of March 15th, 2024
Resolved
NO
Before the end of March 16th, 2024
Resolved
NO
Before the end of March 17th, 2024
Resolved
NO
Before the end of March 18th, 2024
Resolved
NO
Before the end of March 19th, 2024
Resolved
NO
Before the end of March 20th, 2024
Resolved
NO
Before the end of March 21th, 2024
Resolved
NO
Before the end of March 22th, 2024
Resolved
NO
Before the end of March 23th, 2024
Resolved
NO
Before the end of March 24th, 2024
Resolved
NO
Before the end of March 25th, 2024
Resolved
NO
Before the end of March 26th, 2024
Resolved
NO
Before the end of March 27th, 2024
Resolved
NO
Before the end of March 28th, 2024
Resolved
NO
Before the end of March 29th, 2024
Resolved
NO
Before the end of March 30th, 2024
Resolved
NO
Before the end of March 31th, 2024
Resolved
NO
Before the end of April 1th, 2024
Resolved
NO
Before the end of April 2th, 2024

Resolve according to https://coinmarketcap.com/currencies/bitcoin/historical-data/
(I believe coinmarketcap use UTC time zone)

Resoles Yes if bitcoin price has went over $75000 before a certain date ends

*Traders familiar with my market will know that I usually use Yahoo Finance historical price for resolution source. However, I've noticed occasional delays where it takes over a day for Yahoo Finance to update the end-of-day prices. To ensure swift resolution of this daily market, I've decided to use Coinmarketcap data instead.

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@AmmonLam pls resolve last 4d thx cc @chrisjbillington

bought Ṁ1 NO

@AmmonLam 3 more please cc @chrisjbillington close to the end now

@chrisjbillington last 3, thanks again.

@chrisjbillington thanks for resolving

@AmmonLam can you resolve last 3 dates? thanks!

bought Ṁ1 NO

@SirCryptomind @chrisjbillington can mods help out? locked mana seems more important post-pivot.

bought Ṁ2 NO

@AmmonLam 3 more please cc @chrisjbillington

opened a Ṁ1 NO at 1.0% order

🤔

@deagol There has been a gain of 10k in 3 days in the last 6 months. Over 12k in 1.5 days is considerably faster rate of gain so very unlikely and should the very unlikely happen then it can probably be re-resolved. Given the pivot and pressure for mana before 15th, I think this is very sensible.

Pls resolve b4 pivot @AmmonLam (i will stop annoying you from now on i promise ❤ )

Pls resolve @AmmonLam

bought Ṁ150 NO

@AmmonLam pls resolve

April 29 can resolve NO @AmmonLam

bought Ṁ40 NO

Apr 27 can resolve @AmmonLam

April 25th can resolve @AmmonLam

@AmmonLam resolved prematurely.

@deagol unresolved

@deagol

I wrote this on my bio about a week ago:
>>> I'll be experimenting an early resolution policy. For my markets where the chance of resolving Yes is at 99% or chance of resolving No is at 1%, I might resolve them early to release liquidities for traders. In the 1% case that a black swan happened and the market became mis-resolved, I'll contact mods to have it unresolved.

@deagol Do you think this might be a good idea? or do you think the cost (e.g. confusion it causes) just outweighs the benefit?

@AmmonLam I really don't mind either way, not much liquidity in these anyway. Just thought it may have been a misclick, but if intended I have no complaints.

@AmmonLam I think probably not worth it except for markets that would otherwise resolve more than a month or so in the future. Early resolution means people can't trade on the black swan if it happens in the next 24h, so that's one downside on top of a bit of confusion.

@chrisjbillington good feedback. I'll abandon this idea for now

@AmmonLam please resolve last few days, thanks.

@AmmonLam some more

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