When will a majority of US kids dont know how to read analog clocks? | Manifold

When will a majority of US kids dont know how to read analog clocks?

15

80

Ṁ955

Ṁ1.3K

2026

1D

1W

1M

ALL

50%

Before the end of 2024

53%

Before the end of 2025

52%

Before the end of 2026

61%

Before the end of 2027

54%

Before the end of 2028

54%

Before the end of 2029

54%

Before the end of 2030

59%

Before the end of 2035

62%

Before the end of 2040

70%

Before the end of 2050

75%

Before the end of 2100

88%

Before the end of 2200

14%

When majority of kids dont know how to read analog clocks, The Big Ben has already collapsed

36%

When majority of kids dont know how to read analog clocks, Rolex has already went bankrupt and no longer a running company

Resolves when over 50% of 12 years old US kids cannot accurately answer the correct time by looking at an analog clock (with numbers)

Resolution method undecided yet

Get Ṁ200 play money

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bought Ṁ20 Before the end of 2200 YES

I have no hard data (and a two minute search turned up nothing admissible), but anecdotally many students already cannot read them. I likely will start next year by teaching them, if only so I don't have to constantly tell them what time it is.

@VerySeriousPoster Yeah, I honestly think it's already the case that a majority of 12-year-olds can't read analogue clocks.

How will this be determined?

@Athena I think we're here to generate trader bonuses (predicting?). But I don't mind.

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Will reading in the schools be optional by 2060?

Would keyboards still be the primary way of text inputs to a computer for a majority of kids in 2030?

Will the majority of mathematicians rely on formal computer proof assistants before the end of 2040?

Will ChatBots become an indispensable tool for most children's K-12 grade education in the United States before the end of the decade (<2030)?

Will my children need to learn to drive?

More than 50% of children born in 2026 in the USA will not learn to drive

Will the Doomsday Clock reach 20 seconds to midnight by 2030?

At the beginning of 2032, will people in the United States still be using physical coins or cash on a frequent basis?

When will the EU abolish daylight saving time?

(When) will there be a significant change to timekeeping in the US?

Technology questions

Will GPT-5 be released before 2025?

Will the LK-99 room temp, ambient pressure superconductivity pre-print replicate before 2025?

Related questions

Will reading in the schools be optional by 2060?

More than 50% of children born in 2026 in the USA will not learn to drive

Would keyboards still be the primary way of text inputs to a computer for a majority of kids in 2030?

Will the Doomsday Clock reach 20 seconds to midnight by 2030?

Will the majority of mathematicians rely on formal computer proof assistants before the end of 2040?

At the beginning of 2032, will people in the United States still be using physical coins or cash on a frequent basis?

Will ChatBots become an indispensable tool for most children's K-12 grade education in the United States before the end of the decade (<2030)?

When will the EU abolish daylight saving time?

Will my children need to learn to drive?

(When) will there be a significant change to timekeeping in the US?