Trump Declassifies Major information regarding the JFK assassination.
11
100Ṁ1195
2029
70%
chance

Trump has announced that he has a plan to 'drain the swamp' and in that plan video, linked below, he says he intends to declassify major information.

Will we get major declassifications regarding the JFK assassination?
I'm going to add to this description with any smart comments I get as to what should be the criteria for 'YES' other than my best judgement.
If there's nothing major declassified about JFK during Trump's entire term, this will resolve to 'NO'

https://x.com/FarmGirlCarrie/status/1854711284333449626

  • Update 2025-25-01 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Clarifications:

    • Information considered must not have been previously known.

    • The declassification order was issued on January 23rd, 2025, with a deadline for declassification by February 8th, 2025.

    • The market will resolve based on whether major information regarding the JFK assassination is declassified by the deadline.

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I should have clarified sooner but it needs to be information that wasn't previously known.
I know there was an order to declassify and that something pertaining to the KGB communicating with the Lee Oswald person prior to the shooting.
The order, linked here https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/2025/01/declassification-of-records-concerning-the-assassinations-of-president-john-f-kennedy/, shows that the declassification is ordered to take place no longer than 15 days after the order which was issued on the 23rd. So that makes the deadline for all declassifications the 8th of Feb. if my math is correct. From what it seems like, the market is leaning towards there will be substantial drops re: JFK before deadline.

Does the information need to be novel? e.g. something not already written about in the vast amount of material written about the topic already.

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