36
236
705
resolved Jan 1
Resolved
NO

As the Iranian-backed Houthis continue to escalate their attacks on commercial shipping in the Red Sea, the prospect of a potential US response on Yemeni territory presents itself. Will only resolve YES if it is an airstrike and if the attack is on Yemen’s sovereign territory.

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@AmHa do drone strikes, or anything before market creation count?

There was a US drone strike in Yemen in Feb 2023:

https://www.arabnews.com/node/2259026/middle-east

predicted NO

@chrisjbillington Yes, market treats as an “airstrike” any offensive operation carried out by aircraft—including drones. I’m not counting anything before market creation (as future tense of market title implies, but will add clarification in description). Lastly, an airstrike not directly related to the Houthi situation such as the attack on al-Qaeda you referenced

predicted NO

@AmHa (Cont.) would still count as a YES

bought Ṁ1,000 of NO

@AmHa excellent, thanks for the clarification!