Will Israel invade Lebanon before September 1, 2024?
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Criterion for “invasion” in this market is a military action involving the crossing over into Lebanese territory of either:
a. 5000 Israeli troops,
b. 7 battalions or
c. 2 brigades
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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Very good point. I revised with criteria that approximates that number of troops and is likely to be publicly available information.
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