When will Ethel Caterham pass away?
2
100Ṁ133
2028
21%
Before 2026
57%
2026
11%
2027
12%
2028 onwards

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She lives literally 30 second walk away from me 💀

@Kierabyte kinda wild this is a market im ngl

bought Ṁ4 YES

@Kierabyte Take good care of her. Protect her...

@Kierabyte Did you see the King? Took huge balls to go see her, for the King. Look what happened with Vance and the Pope.

@JussiVilleHeiskanen nah they kept it secret that he was coming haha i have literally met her tho

@JussiVilleHeiskanen tbh given that she's healthy i think before 2026 is majorly overvalued - should be like less than 5% imo. i'm not doing this market cuz it feels weird but i think it's free money

@Kierabyte the base rate isn't good for the oldest person, I think the average is about 8 months after the previous.

@JussiVilleHeiskanen 8 months from previous would be jan 2026

@Kierabyte But it isn't a bell curve, it is a slope with a long tail

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