Will the Freakonomics Radio podcast mention Manifold by EOY 2024?
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12
Ṁ423
Jan 2
9%
chance

On Freakonomics Radio episode 605, Stephen Dubner mentions the upcoming episode will cover "betting on elections, and more," with references to "many billions of dollars bet on these markets." This suggests that episode 606 might focus on prediction markets, possibly including Manifold.

Resolves YES if Freakonomics Radio explicitly mentions Manifold in any episode released before January 1, 2025. Otherwise, it resolves NO.

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The episode came out and did not mention Manifold. Good luck to yes holders for another mention before the end of the year.

@LiamZ Got a Polymarket, Kashi, and PredictIt name drop but no Manifold 😭. So close! Seems unlikely now but maybe they have some follow-up content before EOY. The election isn't over yet!

Episode 606 was published and is an updated 2016 re-run that's part of a 2-part series. Dubner hints in the preview that the next episode will feature discussion comparing election betting markets to election polls. I haven't listened to the episode yet fwiw

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