Will Usain Bolt’s 100m record be broken at the 2024 Enhanced Games?
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In reference to this tweet:
Conditional on the event actually taking place.
Update 2024-31-12 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Enhanced Games Schedule Update:
The event is now scheduled for either late 2025 or 2026.
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Best estimate I've ever been able to find, which is purely theoretical, is that juiced to the gills the top sprinters could take 0.2 seconds off their 100 times (https://nymag.com/speed/2016/12/how-much-faster-could-the-fastest-human-on-the-planet-be.html#:~:text=Conte%20puts%20the%20gain%20for,finish%20well%20under%209.50%20seconds.). The top 10 sprinters in the world last year were still >.2 seconds off of Usain's WR. None of them are going to compete because there is no upside for their careers. The next 40 are even farther off and I don't see any reason for them to compete either.
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What is Manifold?
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Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
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In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
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