In reference to this tweet:
Conditional on the event actually taking place.
Update 2024-31-12 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Enhanced Games Schedule Update:
The event is now scheduled for either late 2025 or 2026.
1,000
3.00@mods please resolve N/A (I'm getting an error when I try).
As specified in the description this market was conditional on the event actually taking place in 2024. The Enhanced Games is now scheduled for either late 2025 or 2026.
Best estimate I've ever been able to find, which is purely theoretical, is that juiced to the gills the top sprinters could take 0.2 seconds off their 100 times (https://nymag.com/speed/2016/12/how-much-faster-could-the-fastest-human-on-the-planet-be.html#:~:text=Conte%20puts%20the%20gain%20for,finish%20well%20under%209.50%20seconds.). The top 10 sprinters in the world last year were still >.2 seconds off of Usain's WR. None of them are going to compete because there is no upside for their careers. The next 40 are even farther off and I don't see any reason for them to compete either.