Will Hunter Biden be criminally indicted in 2023?
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resolved Oct 5
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YES

Felony's and higher, State or Federal.

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What the hell just happened? Also kudos @BTE

bought αΉ€70 of YES

@NicoDelon It appeared to be a couple new bots that sold their entire positions probably to get liquidity they expected from a resolution weeks ago.

predicted YES

@NicoDelon I just noticed that trustworthy now means you can resolve open markets AND undo incorrect resolutions. So who else is slacking on their pimping??

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Resolve please

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@AlexLiesman Please resolve

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oh no i forgot about my limit order

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sold αΉ€160 of YES

can i get another yes limit at 80% so i can sell 440 yes shares

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76? limit up

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@jacksonpolack Sure, done

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Special counsel David Weiss intends to indict Hunter Biden on gun charges by the end of the month, Department of Justice says

https://www.cnn.com/2023/09/06/politics/hunter-biden-gun-charges-indictment/index.html

sold αΉ€20 of YES

Since there will likely be an argument over words: the reports are that he is pleading guilty to felony charges. There hasn't been any report of an indictment, which requires a grand jury. Presumably he struck a deal with prosecutors before charges were brought before a grand jury to indict him.

bought αΉ€100 of YES

@NicoDelon There has been an open grand jury in Delaware hearing testimony on these charges for months. He hasn't even reached an agreement on one of the charges yet, so that would imply he was indicted, no?

bought αΉ€5 of NO

@BTE Why are we not seeing ANY report of an indictment though?

predicted YES

@NicoDelon They could have voted this morning or last week under seal, we wouldn't know until it was unsealed. Why wouldn't they have the grand jury they had in session just vote before making any deal? I am sure they were leaning too hard on the presidents son to make a deal before being indicted, but maybe??

predicted NO

@NicoDelon I may be wrong, but methinks you've been quick to bet heavy on these and you might lose a lot of money when people realize there's a guilty plea β‰  an indictment.

For Trump, the word 'indictment' was in bold, flashing, neon letters everywhere. Somehow here no one is talking about an indictment, only about a guilty plea.

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@NicoDelon But wouldn't that be because Trump didn't make a deal to plead guilty, which he presumably could have been offered when his attorneys were invited to DoJ prior to indictment.

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@BTE Yes. He could have avoided an indictment with a deal. That's exactly what Biden seems to have done. Ergo, presumably no indictment.

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@NicoDelon Not sure how they could have a still unresolved charge for a firearm felony unless it was indicted though?

predicted NO

@NicoDelon For instance, I think that none of the guilty pleas in FTX/Alameda involved an indictment. The government only needs to have a strong enough case for the deal to make sense. At no point does there need to be an indictment.

bought αΉ€50 of NO
predicted NO

@Jason Thanks. The filing lists Informations, which are defined as follows by the DOJ:

"An information, has been defined as:

An accusation exhibited against a person for some criminal offense, without an indictment. An accusation in the nature of an indictment, from which it differs only in being presented by a competent public officer on his oath of office, instead of a grand jury on their oath. A written accusation made by a public prosecutor, without the intervention of a grand jury."

https://www.justice.gov/archives/jm/criminal-resource-manual-201-indictment-and-informations#:~:text=An%20information%2C%20has%20been%20defined,grand%20jury%20on%20their%20oath.