Will Ding Liren repeat as World Chess Champion?

Alex...

closes 2025

41%

chance

ALL

Yes if he successfully defends his title

No if he does not

Get Ṁ500 play money

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Luis Pedro Coelhopredicts YES

Why is this so low? Is there a good chance he won't defend?

The only player that I think Ding would not be a favorite against is Caruana (and he'd need to win the Candidates)

What if Ding doesn't defend?

GG sold Ṁ10 NO from 40% to 41%

GG bought Ṁ10 NO from 41% to 40%

Voidvamp bought Ṁ10 NO from 42% to 41%

Sophus Corry bought Ṁ10 YES from 41% to 42%

John Kossa bought Ṁ10 NO from 42% to 41%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ11/Ṁ100 NO at 42% (cancelled) 🤖

LocalGlobal bought Ṁ20 YES from 40% to 44%

Luis Pedro Coelho filled limit order Ṁ16/Ṁ100 YES at 40%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ10/Ṁ100 YES at 37% (cancelled) 🤖

Leather Computer bought Ṁ150 NO from 40% to 35%

Luis Pedro Coelho filled limit order Ṁ60/Ṁ60 YES at 40%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ13/Ṁ100 NO at 38% (cancelled) 🤖

Luis Pedro Coelho bought Ṁ20 YES from 36% to 40%

nic west bought Ṁ10 NO from 37% to 36%

Daniel Tilkin filled limit order Ṁ17/Ṁ100 YES at 35%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ14/Ṁ100 YES at 37% (cancelled) 🤖

Husaah bought Ṁ50 NO from 40% to 33%

Luis Pedro Coelho bought Ṁ10 YES from 38% to 40%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ7/Ṁ100 NO at 38% (cancelled) 🤖

Luis Pedro Coelho bought Ṁ20 YES from 34% to 39%

Michael's Bot LaboratoryBot filled limit order Ṁ3/Ṁ11 YES at 34% (cancelled) 🤖

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ8/Ṁ100 YES at 33% (cancelled) 🤖

Adam Treat bought Ṁ50 NO from 38% to 30%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ7/Ṁ100 NO at 38% (cancelled) 🤖

Benjamin Shindel bought Ṁ20 YES from 33% to 39%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ5/Ṁ100 YES at 33% (cancelled) 🤖

Joseph bought Ṁ20 NO from 35% to 31%

No Man's Friend sold Ṁ6 YES from 37% to 35%

Niall Weaver bought Ṁ2 YES from 36% to 37%

Canlum bought Ṁ50 NO from 50% to 36%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ4/Ṁ100 YES at 50% (cancelled)

cloe bought Ṁ10 NO from 52% to 49%

James Lee bought Ṁ10 YES at 52%

Noah Klein bought Ṁ50 YES from 46% to 52%

cloe bought Ṁ10 NO from 52% to 46%

Joseph filled limit order Ṁ46/Ṁ100 NO at 52% (cancelled)

Joseph bought Ṁ5 NO from 59% to 54%

No Man's Friend bought Ṁ10 YES from 50% to 59%

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