
15
closes Jan 1
25%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Amount
Ṁ0
Ṁ50
Ṁ100
Payout if YES
Ṁ37 +275.3%
New probability
28% +3%
Resolves YES if they get the trustworthy-ish badge by the end of 2023.
Resolves NO if they do not. Also resolves NO if they get banned.
Get Ṁ500 play money
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Austinbought Ṁ20 of YES
Hey, thanks for applying! I think @AlexLiesman is a strong candidate, with 60 markets created at this point in time; and I'm a huge fan of the Manifold Plays Chess series and would love to see more experiments like that.
Right now, I'm mostly looking for some more external confirmation (eg from other community members, especially core team or Trustworthish people) about Alex's track record. Betting YES in the meantime!
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Will anyone on the all-time market creation leaderboard have an untrustworthy creator badge before the end of 2023?