Will Representative George Santos still be a member of the House of Representatives on January 1, 2024?
98
563
1.2K
resolved Dec 1
Resolved
NO

Representative George Santos faces a number of felony indictments for Fraud, Money Laundering, Theft of Public Funds, and False Statements. Will he still be a member of the House of Representatives on January 1, 2024?

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Can this close even if it's technically possible that the special election could be held in time for George Santos to be re-elected?

bought Ṁ1,500 of NO

@GCS Under New York State law, the special election cannot occur in less than seventy days.

predicted NO

@GCS "New York State law stipulates that the governor make a proclamation of a special election within 10 days, with an election occurring “not less than seventy nor more than eighty days” following the proclamation." ( https://www.cnn.com/politics/live-news/george-santos-expulsion-vote-12-1-23/index.html )

bought Ṁ1 of YES

George Santos WAS a member of the House of Representatives on January 1, 2024. This should resolve Yes!
What would resolve No is whether or not he's a House representative on January 2.

bought Ṁ1,000 of NO

@kaiemon Today is Dec. 1, 2023, not Jan. 1, 2024.

predicted YES

@PlasmaBallin Oh jeez, I'm stupid

bought Ṁ2,000 of NO

@AlexGraettinger Can be resolved

I've seen reports saying he could be expelled as soon as this week, so I started a related market: