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Most expensive elemental prices decrease by end of year?
8
Ṁ625Ṁ592
Dec 31
35%
Palladium (49.5k USD/KG)
34%
Rhodium (368k USD/KG)
34%
Terbium (4.03k USD/KG)
34%
Dysprosium (931 USD/KG)
34%
Ruthenium (44.9k USD/KG)
34%
Rhenium (5.75k USD/KG)
31%
Silver (2.74k USD/KG)
29%
Iridium (207k USD/KG)
24%
Platinum (68.26k USD/KG)
23%
Gold (165.25k USD/KG)
17%
Hafnium (12k USD/KG)
Resolved
N/A
Beryllium (857 USD/KG)
Resolved
N/A
Neptunium (660k USD/KG)
Resolved
N/A
Caesium (61.8k USD/KG)
Resolved
N/A
Scandium (3.46k USD/KG)
Resolved
N/A
Thulium (6.2k USD/KG)
Resolved
N/A
Krypton (290 USD/KG)
Resolved
N/A
N/A
Resolved
N/A
Technetium (100k USD/KG)
Resolved
N/A
Osmium (30k USD/KG)

How will the prices of the most expensive elements from the periodic table change between now February 20th 2026, and the end of the year.

➡️ Specifically, which decrease in price in USD.

The price when this market was created is included in each item.

If the price changes too little to notice at this resolution of recording, or the item otherwise turns out to be problematic, then that item will resolve N/A. Sorry about this, valuably I've now gained experience about how to do markets like this more smoothly in the future.


Updated previously out of date prices. The price dates are now chosen to be close to market creation date.

Rhodium, 20th feb 2026:

1st source – $353k per KG

2nd source – €326k per KG = $384k per KG

($353k + $384k) / 2 = $368k per KG

https://www.dailymetalprice.com/metalprices.php?c=rh&u=kg&d=20

https://pmm.umicore.com/en/prices/rhodium/

Palladium, 20th feb 2026:

"Precious metals like palladium are usually priced per troy ounce, not a regular (avoirdupois) ounce." apparently

1st source – $1.756k per Ounce = $56.457k per KG

2nd source – $55.55k per KG

($56.457 + $55.55) / 2 = $56k

https://goldbroker.com/charts/palladium-price/usd#historical-chart

https://www.bullionbypost.co.uk/palladium-price/week/kilograms/USD/#show-chart

Silver, 20th feb 2026

1st source – $3k per KG

2nd source – $2.57k per KG

3rd source – $2.66k per KG

($3k + $2.57k + $2.66k) / 3) = $2.74k

https://www.veracash.com/silver-price-and-chart

https://www.bullionbypost.co.uk/silver-price/today/kilograms/USD

https://www.goldcore.com/silver-price/silver-price-per-kilo

Platinum, 20th feb 2026

source 1 – $68.53k per KG

source 2 – $68k per KG

($68.53 + $68k) / 2 = $68.26k per KG

https://www.bullionbypost.co.uk/platinum-price/week/kilograms/USD/#show-chart

https://www.goldcore.co.uk/platinum-price/week/kilogram/usd

Ruthenium, 20th to 23rd feb 2026

source 1 – $49.5k per KG

source 2 – $46.16k per KG

source 3 – $39.1k per KG

($49.5k + $46.16k + $39.1k) / 3 = $44.9k per KG

source 4 – $29.3k per KG (October 2025, seems plausible)

https://strategicmetalsinvest.com/ruthenium-prices

https://www.cookson-industrial.com/metal-prices

https://tonyjarvis.co.uk/metal-prices

https://www.dailymetalprice.com/metalprices.php?c=ru&u=kg&d=1

Rhenium, 23rd feb 2026

source 1 – $6.11k per KG

source 2 – $5.45k per KG (average price so far in 2026)

source 3 – $5.7k per KG

($6.11k + $5.44k + $5.7k) / 3 = $5.75k per KG

https://strategicmetalsinvest.com/rhenium-prices

https://earthrarest.com/rhenium/price

https://www.metal.com/prices/201102250036

Gold, 20th to 23rd feb 2026

source 1 – $168.5k per KG

source 2 – $162k per KG

($168.5k + $162k) / 2 = $165.25k

https://silverprice.org/gold-price-today/2026-01-23

https://www.bullionbypost.co.uk/gold-price/today/kilograms/USD

Terbium, 23rd feb 2026

highly trusted source – $4.03k per KG

https://strategicmetalsinvest.com/terbium-prices

Hafnium, 23rd feb 2026:

highly trusted source – $12k per KG

https://strategicmetalsinvest.com/hafnium-prices

Dysprosium 23rd feb 2026:

highly trusted source – $931 per KG

https://strategicmetalsinvest.com/dysprosium-prices

Iridium 20th feb 2026:

source 1 – €200k = $236k

source 2 – $6650 per troy oz = $214k per KG

($200k + $214k) / 2 = $207k per KG

https://pmm.umicore.com/en/prices/iridium

https://matthey.com/products-and-markets/pgms-and-circularity/pgm-management


Sorry, upon further research getting a reasonable and accurate price history for the following proved unviable, they have been resolved to N/A:

Neptunium

Technetium

Thallium

Rubidium

Caesium

Krypton

Xenon

Beryllium

Scandium

Osmium

Neon

Thulium

Lutetium

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bought Ṁ10 NO

Cool market, can you add an example in the market description for clarity? For example if gold price increases how will it resolve? Yes or No?

@EstMtz If gold decreases then its market will resolve yes.

@AlanTennant thanks, the challenge with this market will be getting accurate up to date prices. Start with the more common metals. For example, goldprice.org could be a good source for gold price. Currently about 164k usd per kilogram. The other challenge is the old prices Wikipedia lists, everything has probably increased in price by now.

@EstMtz feel free to provide updates or better sources

@EstMtz One source says gold = 163k per KG, so that's even more unlikely to drop below 75.43k, I'll use historic data is available, and update here if I'm able to edit items with said historic data for market creation date.

@EstMtz fixed gold to be correct for market creation date :)

@EstMtz the wiki needs editing too

@EstMtz updated silver price (as of yesterday)

@EstMtz platinum fixed

@EstMtz hafnium fixed

bought Ṁ10 NO

@AlanTennant will you be providing the sources for each of the updated fixed prices?

@EstMtz which one do you want?

@EstMtz Hafnium updated from https://strategicmetalsinvest.com/hafnium-prices

20th feb price.

@AlanTennant Also put in the description.

@AlanTennant Thulium was an old price 2003

@EstMtz fixed now?

@AlanTennant On the Wikipedia chart the prices are from varying years. Two columns to the right of the price has the year and the next column has the source. Thulium at $3k per kg is from 2003. I'm not trying to be nitpicky for each of these, but it's challenging to place predictions when the starting price hasn't been defined for all of them.

@EstMtz That took a whole day to do, see my notes on each element, the wiki list is gone now and replaced with a whole bunch of research on every element individually. I'll also send you some mana for helping. Feel free to nitpick more. I hope the prices are now approximately correct. The year column really helped, I hadn't noticed that before.

Gold is rapidly gaining in value, even more than it usually does.

Silver and platinum are precious metals, used in jewellery.

Neon and Xenon are noble gasses, and can be used to make coloured lights for the outside of shops.

Caesium explodes when wet.

A lot of the rest of the options are radioactive.

As expensive as Lithium and Neodymium are, they don't even make the list, and are still cheaper than all these elements.

Changes to the price of the USD may also influence things.

removed accidental duplicate

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