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MANIFOLD
Whales vs. Minnows: Will the main WvM market reach 99%?
10
Ṁ170Ṁ2.5k
resolved Apr 25
Resolved
YES

Will the market "Whales vs. Minnows: Will traders hold at least 10000x as many YES shares as there are traders holding NO shares?" reach 99%?

This market will resolve if the above market is >= 99% at any moment in time during the trading period i.e. before we reach the market resolution time.

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Whales vs. Minnows
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@IsaacKing I have added clarification to this question.

"This market will resolve if the above market is >= 99% at any moment in time during the trading period i.e. before we reach the market resolution time."

Isn't it irrational to bet this any higher than the main market? If people think it'll go up to 99%, they should just bet YES there.

@Bot Not an exact arb since this will stay high afterwards if the main market reaches 99% and then drops, but you might be able to do something with this.

@IsaacKing if the main market reaches 99% why would it then drop ?

@Odoacre Your skepticism has been rejected by reality.

predictedYES

@Mira yes it has. In my defense I think everyone was a at least a bit surprised