Will the following five markets about destiny in 2022 all resolve to no?
20
151
480
resolved Jan 2
Resolved
YES

This market will resolve to YES if all the following markets resolve to "no" or N/A.

If even one market resolves to yes, then this market will resolve to NO.

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predicted YES

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predicted YES

@Gen I think it's too soon, only 4/5 of them have been resolved so far.

The creator of the last one could technically decide to resolve it to "yes" even thought Destiny didn't talk to Ben Shapiro, and then this one should also be "yes" since it's a meta market based on the outcomes of the other 5.

The outcome has been met for the last one to be "no", and it's obviously "no" because Destiny didn't talk to Ben Shapiro, but the Ben market hasn't been resolved yet so technically I think that needs to happen before this one can resolve. I think that's part of the risk with these types of markets (human error/or maliciously choosing the wrong outcome).

@DalibanAdjacent yeah, that's my rational for not resolving this immediately. But I don't want to withhold everybody's Mana indefinitely, so I will probably resolve this in two days at the latest, because the outcome is pretty obvious.