Part of a trio of questions based on forecasts made by the same article.

Spirit of the market: Judged broadly, Does this claim from the New Statesman Article about Longtermism hold up?

Resolution Criteria: On 1st Jan 2028,

I check BBC News and New Statesman to determine whether any implemented civilisational risk monitoring programme has been implemented. I define civilisational risk as biorisk, AI risk, or any technological risk which Bostrom might plausibly describe as having a "black ball" risk of civilisational collapse.

AND

Civil-liberties advocacy groups or broadsheet newspapers express strong views that this policy would constitute a 'mass surveillance' program, comparable in scale and invasiveness to mass metadata surveillance programmes implemented through the 2000s and 2010s.

See Bostrom Vulnerable World [2019]

https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/1758-5899.12718

See New Statesman Article [Paywall]

https://magazine.newstatesman.com/2023/08/03/longtermism-is-a-threat-to-humanity/content.html

Longtermism is a threat to humanity

William MacAskill’s utopian visions may end in violent upheaval.