Will xAI stick to their announced release timeline?
8
100Ṁ1942026
18%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves YES if a coding model is demoed by August, a multi-modal (at least text, vision and audio as mentioned in the livestream) agent (tool use) system is demoed by September, and a text to video model is demoed by October
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Will xAI significantly rework their alignment plan by the start of 2026?
20% chance
Will X integrate with any prediction market by the end of the 2025?
89% chance
Will xAI be the first to release AGI to the public?
10% chance
Will xAI release grok 4.20 ?
20% chance
Will xAI stop working on AI research by 2029?
28% chance
Will xAI join the voluntary commitment by OpenAI/Anthropic to AISI to share major new models w/AISI prior to release?
18% chance
Will xAI rank above OpenAI at EOY?
23% chance
xAI builds truth-seeking AI before 2027?
29% chance
What will XAI & X do in 2025?
Will AI xrisk seem to be handled seriously by the end of 2026?
23% chance