What is Grok 4's performance on METR's task length evaluation?
12
125Ṁ1441resolved Jul 31
100%99.0%
1.5 to 2 Hours
0.3%
0 to 1.5 Hours
0.3%
2 to 2.5 Hours
0.2%
2.5 to 3 Hours
0.2%
More than 3 Hours
Resolves based on the METR's measurement of the duration of tasks that can complete with a 50% success rate.
https://metr.org/blog/2025-03-19-measuring-ai-ability-to-complete-long-tasks/
Grok 4 Heavy does not count
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
🏅 Top traders
# | Name | Total profit |
---|---|---|
1 | Ṁ59 | |
2 | Ṁ25 | |
3 | Ṁ15 | |
4 | Ṁ14 | |
5 | Ṁ5 |
Sort by:
@Bayesian These scores have high confidence intervals. Predictors on METR task length evals need to be aware of randomness.