Claude Opus 4.6 released this week?
6
Ṁ100Ṁ776Feb 9
45%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL

If whether Opus 4.6 was released is ambiguous (various valid definitions yield a different resolution decision), uninvolved moderators will be asked to resolve the market based on what they find to be most reasonable, between YES, NO, and N/A. The market will not resolve to PROB.
So long as it is released before the end of Sunday, February 8th everywhere on earth
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Will the next release of Claude be Sonnet 4.7?
5% chance
Will a new Claude Opus model be released in February 2026?
81% chance
Will Anthropic release Claude Sonnet 4.6 by February 15th?
10% chance
Claude 4.6 (Anthropic) release date
Claude Sonnet 5 released this week?
70% chance
Will Claude powerusers think Sonnet 4.6 is strictly better for everyday use than Opus 4.5, analogously to s4.5 vs o4.1?
40% chance
Will the next Claude Sonnet be better than Claude 4.5 Opus at software engineering?
79% chance