MANIFOLD
Claude Opus 4.6 released this week?
6
Ṁ100Ṁ776
Feb 9
45%
chance

If whether Opus 4.6 was released is ambiguous (various valid definitions yield a different resolution decision), uninvolved moderators will be asked to resolve the market based on what they find to be most reasonable, between YES, NO, and N/A. The market will not resolve to PROB.

So long as it is released before the end of Sunday, February 8th everywhere on earth

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