How old will my mom be when she dies?
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Plus
35
Ṁ4518
2081
2%
64
12%
65
12%
66
9%
67
8%
68
16%
69
6%
70
4%
71
4%
72
4%
73
3%
74
4%
75
2%
76
1.4%
77
1.3%
78
1.1%
79
1%
80
0.9%
81
1%
82
0.9%
83

How much longer will my mom live?
She was born 1959. She has a lot of health issues, including (but not limited to):
Loeys Dietz (a connective tissue disorder), epilepsy, celiac disease, a pacemaker and artificial heart valve, very severe osteoporosis, scoliosis, arthritis, as well as a random assortment of other random things going wrong that the doctors don't understand.
Despite best efforts she's mostly bedridden, on good days able to do a 10-minute walk. She's in constant pain.
How old will she be when she dies? Her birthday is in the first quarter of the year.

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bought Ṁ50 69 NO

just hedging here

Research shows that most medical expenditures are incurred during the final three years of life. This seems to align with many of the people I know, who once they start to have major issues, have about three years left.

Therefore, I would suggest that the answer should be around 67.

Why did you use this style of market instead of the one that I've commonly seen used for markets like this where people bet higher or lower? That's what was used for the Bryan Johnson market seen here. This is a genuine question, I'm not saying one is better than another. I do not know.

@squirrelfish People really don't like those markets, how they work is confusing to many users. Not saying they shouldn't be used, but that's the general reason they aren't used more

@squirrelfish afaik numerical markets aren't allowed anymore? that must be an old one

@Aella You can still make them by clicking "duplicate" on an existing numerical market. But there's a reason the way to make them is so roundabout, they are semi-phased out for now

First off, sorry to hear your mother is in constant pain. I can see how it would be uncomfortable answering a lot of or any questions so feel free to ignore.

I've got three I'd be interested in:

  1. How many hospital admissions the last 6 months?

  2. Any milestones coming up in the next year There is a lot of power in my experience around milestones or anniversaries

  3. Has she had a pacemaker more than 4 years?

@JoelMcGuire

No hospital

No milestones that I know about?

Pacemaker since March 2018

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