Will Elon Musk suspend or resign from his Department of Government Efficiency role by October 15?
16
100Ṁ698
resolved May 30
Resolved
YES

This is one of 25 props in the tenth annual Narcissist Forecasting Contest, as described here:

https://braff.co/advice/f/announcing-the-2025-narcissist-forecasting-contest

It will be adjudicated by judges as described in the fine print of the entry form:

https://forms.gle/Zh6vvRw2YgdYSdgV6

Market context
Politics
Trump's Second Term
Technology
Elon musk
Elon Musk
2025 Narcissist Forecasting Contest
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Note to traders, I have submitted this question to the judges (in the underlying forecasting contest to which this prop is a mirror). They will resolve whether Musk's announcement tonight counts as a resignation or something else.

And also:

https://manifold.markets/JeffBerman/will-the-doge-reporting-demand-resu

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