Will Elon Musk suspend or resign from his Department of Government Efficiency role by October 15?
11
100Ṁ355Oct 17
47%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This is one of 25 props in the tenth annual Narcissist Forecasting Contest, as described here:
https://braff.co/advice/f/announcing-the-2025-narcissist-forecasting-contest
It will be adjudicated by judges as described in the fine print of the entry form:
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
1,000Related questions
Related questions
Will Elon be removed as CEO of Tesla by June 1st, 2025?
7% chance
Will Elon Musk cease to be CEO of Tesla in 2025?
28% chance
Will Elon Musk cease to be CEO of Tesla before the end of 2026?
51% chance
Will Elon Musk undergo an impeachment over his actions at the new Dept of Government Efficiency
Will Elon Musk be given a Cabinet position by the end of June 2025?
3% chance
Will Elon Musk step down from being Tesla CEO by the end of 2025?
20% chance
Will Elon Musk cease to be CEO of Tesla before the end of 2025?
27% chance
Will Elon Musk be appointed to an official U.S. government advisory role if Donald Trump is re-elected?
92% chance
Will Elon Musk cease to be CEO of SpaceX before the end of 2025?
19% chance
When will Elon Musk no longer play a significant role in the Trump Administration?