Israel will show incontrovertible evidence of Hamas headquarters beneath a hospital in Gaza. (by end of 2023)
Israel will show incontrovertible evidence of Hamas headquarters beneath a hospital in Gaza. (by end of 2023)
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Israel has been telling us for weeks that Hamas has command and control centers beneath hospitals in Gaza with tunnels from the hospitals connecting them. They released a CGI demonstration of this below Shifa hospital. Now that Israel is emptying hospitals they will inspect and present the evidence. This will resolve to yes if Israel presents indisputable evidence of Hamas offices, command centers, control centers and tunnels beneath the hospitals as they have claimed.
"Incontrovertible" will be evidence that leads reputable media sources to concede that a large and important Hamas command center, or HQ, or control center was indeed located below a Gazan hospital and this is not disputed by other reputable Western media sources.
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Why use play money?Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.