How many Statistics papers will be published to arXiv in April 2025?
8
125Ṁ1298
resolved May 2
Resolved
575 papers
Resolved
YES
Above 500
Resolved
YES
Above 550
Resolved
NO
Above 700
Resolved
NO
Above 650
Resolved
NO
Above 600

This market will be resolved based on statistics published to https://arxiv.org/year/stat/2025. If arXiv is down, I'll check back a week after. If it remains down, this market resolves to N/A.

For clarity, if this market was about January 2025, it would have resolved YES for >=500 and >=550 as 562 was the number of articles.

Whether or not the statistics on arXiv are truly accurate, this market resolves to whatever is posted.

I'm betting in this market because it has a perfectly objective resolution criteria (numeric).

  • Update 2025-05-01 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): * The creator will check the resolution source 1-2 days after the market close date (May 1st, 2025).

    • This delay is to allow time for the arXiv website to update its final count for April 2025.

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