Which f2 drivers will be promoted to f1 next season
24
181
2.1k
2025
87%
Oliver Bearman
82%
Andrea Kimi Antonelli
45%
Zane Maloney
27%
Enzo Fittipaldi da Cruz
27%
Carlton Jakston (Jak) Crawford
26%
Victor Martins
22%
Franco Alejandro Colapinto
21%
None of them
19%
Taylor Barnard
19%
Isack Alexandre Hadjar
18%
Amaury Cordeel
18%
Josep Maria Martí
18%
Zak O'Sullivan
18%
Juan Manuel Correa Borja
18%
Joshua Dürksen
17%
Roman Staněk Jr.
17%
Ritomo Miyata
17%
Gabriel Bortoleto Oliveira
17%
Rafael Villagómez Jr.
16%
Kush Maini

Which f2 driver(s) will get promoted to f1?

Market info:

This question will resolve to all drivers who get promoted, or "None of them" if f1 pulls a dumb move again.

This question will resolve when the 2025 f1 team lineup is released.

Some thing that might be good to note before betting:

Bearman made a great f1 debut in Jeddah as a replacement driver for Sainz, getting 6 points, more points than some f1 drivers have scored in their entire carrers (ex: Logan Sargeant has scored 1 point in his career so far, Nick de Vries and Liam Lawson both scored 2 points in their own careers.)

Look at the f2 standings before picking.

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f2 standings (before melbourne):

I think this is accurate, pls lmk if I'm wrong. People with sponsors and people higher up are more likely to promote, as well as f1 teams that will change drivers next year.

f1 info:

Guaranteed Mercedes is losing their main driver Lewis Hamilton (he's going to Ferrari), so the question is will Mercedes take one of their juniors in f2 or (more likely) will they steal Fernando Alonso from Aston Martin, leaving Aston Martin with an empty seat. Alternatively, they might instead take Verstappen from Red Bull (he is dominating, but Red Bull team drama -> he might leave), leaving the big team with an empty seat. (I'm not sure if they would in that scenario promote one of their reserve drivers from Racing Bulls (Visa RB), because ngl Tsunoda is bad (they should drop him) and Riccardo is vetteran-y). There is a different market on this: https://manifold.markets/SimonGrayson/who-will-replace-lewis-hamilton-at

Any/All of Alpine, HAAS, and Sauber (yes ik the name change but I refuse to call it "Stake") might try out a new driver because they all absolutely suck right now, and hopefully Williams will replace Sergeant because he sucks (performing noticeably worse than Albon, why is he still there?), though I think they will either keep Albon or he will switch teams to a modern big name like Red Bull or maybe even Mercedes. As for McLaren, Lando might stay, might move to Mercedes or Red Bull, I'm not sure. Piastri probably will stay with McLaren.

pls lmk if I missed/forgot anything leading up to Melbourne, or if anything is inaccurate here.