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MANIFOLD
Will any person who appears on the ballot as a republican win a citywide office in the District of Columbia?
1
Ṁ100Ṁ44
Dec 31
33%
chance

This market will resolve to yes if a person who is listed on the sample ballot for the general midterm election of 2026 wins an office that all residents of the District of Columbia vote on. This outcome will be verified by the DC border elections certification that this person has won.

Should there be a dispute, the rules provided will control over the answer to the question itself. While the question is intended to provide an easy way for people to bet on their beliefs, it is not the end-all be-all, and all traders should look at the rules. Please don't hesitate to ask clarifying questions in the comments. In the unlikely event of significant ambiguity regarding whether the resolution criteria have been met. I reserve the right to resolve a question to a percentage that I deem fair. I will give notice before I do this.

Statement on Liquidity:

If someone independently adds Ṁ225 of liquidity to this market, I will match their additions unless I don't have the reasonable funds to do so.

The creator has blocked themselves from betting in this market.
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