Will the number of mobilized people in Russia exceed 1 million before the end of 2023?
26
142
Ṁ1.3KṀ530
resolved Jan 2
Resolved
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This market resolves "YES" if it becomes publicly known that the total number of people mobilized in Russia between September 2022 and December 2023 exceeded one million.
Resolution criteria
I am having trouble formulating clear resolution criteria for this market since it's hard to predict if there will be any consensus about this number. It means that I will inevitably rely on my best judgment when choosing reliable sources.
However, if there is a consensus between Russian official sources and credible world media, I will resolve this market accordingly.
Author betting policy
I will not bet on this market to avoid a conflict of interest.
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