Will the number of mobilized people in Russia exceed 1 million before the end of 2023?
26
142
530
resolved Jan 2
Resolved
NO

This market resolves "YES" if it becomes publicly known that the total number of people mobilized in Russia between September 2022 and December 2023 exceeded one million.

Resolution criteria

I am having trouble formulating clear resolution criteria for this market since it's hard to predict if there will be any consensus about this number. It means that I will inevitably rely on my best judgment when choosing reliable sources.

However, if there is a consensus between Russian official sources and credible world media, I will resolve this market accordingly.

Author betting policy

I will not bet on this market to avoid a conflict of interest.

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AFAIK it's NO. If you have different information, please post your sources in comments.

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