This market resolves "YES" if it becomes publicly known that the total number of people mobilized in Russia between September 2022 and December 2023 exceeded one million.

Resolution criteria

I am having trouble formulating clear resolution criteria for this market since it's hard to predict if there will be any consensus about this number. It means that I will inevitably rely on my best judgment when choosing reliable sources.

However, if there is a consensus between Russian official sources and credible world media, I will resolve this market accordingly.

Author betting policy

I will not bet on this market to avoid a conflict of interest.