Will Russia and Ukraine sign or prolong natural gas transit deal before 2025?
25
1kṀ4363resolved Jan 9
Resolved
NO1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves the same as the original question on Metaculus.
Resolution Criteria
This questions resolves Yes if credible sources report that Gazprom (or its successor) and Naftogaz/Gas Transmission System Operator of Ukraine (GTSOU) (or the entity that owns the Ukrainian gas transit system at the time) has:
prolonged the current 5-year agreement, or
signed a new agreement
before January 1, 2025, which allows Gazprom to transit gas through Ukraine to a point outside of Ukraine. If no such report is made before January 1 , 2025, this question resolves as No.
Fine Print
The agreement must have a length of at least 1 year to count. An agreement between the Russian and Ukrainian governments would also count towards resolution of this question.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
🏅 Top traders
# | Name | Total profit |
---|---|---|
1 | Ṁ184 | |
2 | Ṁ87 | |
3 | Ṁ76 | |
4 | Ṁ62 | |
5 | Ṁ57 |
People are also trading
Related questions
Will the Russia-Ukraine war end before the end of 2025?
13% chance
Will Ukraine reach a peace treaty with Russia before the end of 2025?
16% chance
Will the Russia/Ukrainian war end before the end of 2025?
13% chance
Will Russia and Ukraine announce a ceasefire with an intended duration of at least 28 days before October 1st, 2025?
10% chance
Will Russia/Ukraine break their ceasefire before the end of 2025?
32% chance
Will Russia nuke Ukraine before the end of 2025?
2% chance
Will the Russia Ukraine conflict reach a conclusion by the end of 2025?
16% chance
Will the war between Russia and Ukraine end in 2025?
12% chance
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
32% chance
Will Ukraine sever the land bridge between Crimea and Russia before 2026?
5% chance