Skip to main content
MANIFOLD
What will be the impacts of php2shell in next 6 months
2
Ṁ125Ṁ30
2027
76%
A US federal government server is compromised
66%
A hospital with at least 100 beds has to cancel scheduled surgeries
50%
A Fortune 500 company is compromised
50%
A EU agency/body server is compromised
50%
A company with at least USD 1 million in revenue goes bankrupt

This market resolves based on negative outcomes attributed to CVE-2026-109618 / CVE-2026-109619 AKA 'php2shell'

I am allowing for a week to modify detailed criteria based on feedback.

In all cases, the outcome must have php2shell as its main/proximal cause.

"compromised" means that an attacker was able to steal user/company data OR modify the website OR cause monetary/health/other damages

The standard for resolution is credible reporting, I won't trade. Only impacts reported up to the close date (2027-04-20) count.

More details:

https://www.php.net/archive/2026.php#2026-10-21-5

https://thephp.foundation/blog/2026/10/21/todays-php-security-release-and-how-were-strengthening-php-security/

The creator has blocked themselves from betting in this market.
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!
Sort by:
bought Ṁ10 YES

I hope I'm wrong - especially about the hospital.