Iran claims shooting down an F-35: https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/defence/iran-shoots-second-us-f-35-fighter-jet-says-pilot-survival-unlikely-israel-war-middle-east/articleshow/129994398.cms

This resolve YES, if an F-35 was actually lost during this time, regardless of the specific mechanism of the loss of aircraft as long as:

1) The date matches

2) The loss happened over Iran (i.e. the airframe or its parts fell on Iranian soil/territorial waters OR reliable reporting that the main cause of the loss happened over Iran)

3) Confirmed by US military or credible independent investigation.

In case of credible reports this was the case but no confirmation by US military I will wait at least a week before resolving the markets to allow for the fog of war to be at least partly lifted.

I will also wait until at least April 8th to resolve NO, if not further confirmation is made.

I will not trade on this market.