23. Will there be fewer than 50K daily average COVID cases worldwide in December 2022?
Basic
14
Ṁ856resolved Feb 1
Resolved
NO1D
1W
1M
ALL
From Scott Alexander's COVID predictions for 2022 on Astral Codex Ten: https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/predictions-for-2022-contest
Resolved according to Scott Alexander’s judgment, as given through future posts on Astral Codex Ten.
Get
1,000
and1.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will there be fewer death due to infectious diseases in 2024 compared to 2023? (Wordwide)
55% chance
Will there be fewer death due to infectious diseases in 2024 compared to 2023? (in the United States)
42% chance
Will there be fewer than 500 000 malaria deaths worldwide in 2025?
18% chance
Will there be more than one million new HIV infections globally in 2025?
61% chance
Will the world human population be <6 Billion on December 26, 2025?
3% chance
Will there be any more lockdowns due to COVID-19 in the US before 2025?
3% chance
Will the world population decrease before 2025?
4% chance
Will the world human population be <6 Billion on December 26, 2027?
5% chance