3. Will PredictIt think Joe Biden is the most likely 2024 Dem nominee by the end of 2022?
38
Ṁ241Ṁ2.9kresolved Feb 1
Resolved
YES1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
From Scott Alexander's US/World predictions for 2022 on Astral Codex Ten: https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/predictions-for-2022-contest
Resolved according to Scott Alexander’s judgment, as given through future posts on Astral Codex Ten.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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Relevant PredictIt market: https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7057/Who-will-win-the-2024-Democratic-presidential-nomination