29. Will most people Scott sees in his local grocery store on December 31st be wearing masks?
35
Ṁ260Ṁ2.1kresolved Feb 1
Resolved
NO1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
From Scott Alexander's COVID predictions for 2022 on Astral Codex Ten: https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/predictions-for-2022-contest
Resolved according to Scott Alexander’s judgment, as given through future posts on Astral Codex Ten.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
🏅 Top traders
| # | Trader | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ20 | |
| 2 | Ṁ18 | |
| 3 | Ṁ18 | |
| 4 | Ṁ16 | |
| 5 | Ṁ12 |