30. Will masks still be required on US domestic flights by the end of 2022?
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42
Ṁ2573
resolved Feb 1
Resolved
NO
From Scott Alexander's COVID predictions for 2022 on Astral Codex Ten: https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/predictions-for-2022-contest Resolved according to Scott Alexander’s judgment, as given through future posts on Astral Codex Ten.
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I'm lowkey expecting a winter resurgence of COVID
TSA only extended the mandate out by one month; previous mandates were on a 6-month time horizon or so. Buying NO, because prediction markets have a very right-libertarian clientele (because of Robin Hanson) who may trust the government’s ability to perform risk-benefit analysis even less than is correct.