25. Will India's official COVID case count be higher than the US by the end of 2022?
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21
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resolved Feb 1
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NO
From Scott Alexander's COVID predictions for 2022 on Astral Codex Ten: https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/predictions-for-2022-contest Resolved according to Scott Alexander’s judgment, as given through future posts on Astral Codex Ten.
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Free money. It's zero percent chance, because India doesn't count its COVID cases.