31. Will CDC recommend that triple-vaxxed people get at least one more vax by the end of 2022?
57
72
Ṁ3.4KṀ151
resolved Feb 1
Resolved
YES1D
1W
1M
ALL
From Scott Alexander's COVID predictions for 2022 on Astral Codex Ten: https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/predictions-for-2022-contest
Resolved according to Scott Alexander’s judgment, as given through future posts on Astral Codex Ten.
Get Ṁ200 play money
🏅 Top traders
# | Name | Total profit |
---|---|---|
1 | Ṁ48 | |
2 | Ṁ26 | |
3 | Ṁ25 | |
4 | Ṁ23 | |
5 | Ṁ19 |
Sort by:
https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/vaccines/stay-up-to-date.html Though this doesn't explicitly recommend 4 jabs, it does recommend that adults who have had "2 or more" shots, and have not had the bivalent booster, get the bivalent booster. Given that many people got the monovalent booster, I'd say this definitely counts as "recommending that triple-vaxxed people get at least one more vax".
https://www.cdc.gov/media/releases/2022/s0328-covid-19-boosters.html
Sure. But this is allowing, not recommending, and only for a small fraction of people. I don't understand why this market is so high.
More related questions
Related questions
[Kalshi] Will the CDC identify a new COVID variant of concern by December 31, 2024?
19% chance
Will the CDC recommend the flu vaccine for the majority of Americans for the 2050 flu season?
64% chance
Will the number of children vaccinated with 3 doses of the R21 malaria vaccine reach 5M before January 1st, 2025?
48% chance
Will the CDC recommend the flu vaccine for the majority of Americans for the 2035 flu season?
87% chance