resolved Feb 1
31. Will CDC recommend that triple-vaxxed people get at least one more vax by the end of 2022?
From Scott Alexander's COVID predictions for 2022 on Astral Codex Ten: Resolved according to Scott Alexander’s judgment, as given through future posts on Astral Codex Ten.

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Droideka30 avatar
Droideka30predicted YES at 94% Though this doesn't explicitly recommend 4 jabs, it does recommend that adults who have had "2 or more" shots, and have not had the bivalent booster, get the bivalent booster. Given that many people got the monovalent booster, I'd say this definitely counts as "recommending that triple-vaxxed people get at least one more vax".

MartinRandall avatar
Martin Randallpredicted NO at 74% Sure. But this is allowing, not recommending, and only for a small fraction of people. I don't understand why this market is so high.
Duncn avatar
Duncnbought Ṁ1 of YESIf they recommend it for at-risk groups, does that count? Or rather, any predictions as to whether Scott will count it?