3. Will Ukraine control the city of Luhansk at the end of 2023?
124
2kṀ29k
resolved Jan 1
Resolved
NO

If there is active fighting over the city, whoever controls the main train station (or, if destroyed, the piece of ground where the train station used to be) is counted as controlling the city.

This is question #3 in the Astral Codex Ten 2023 Prediction Contest. The contest rules and full list of questions are available here. Market will resolve according to Scott Alexander’s judgment, as given through future posts on Astral Codex Ten.

Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!

🏅 Top traders

#NameTotal profit
1Ṁ1,334
2Ṁ510
3Ṁ293
4Ṁ271
5Ṁ221
© Manifold Markets, Inc.TermsPrivacy