Test market 8
8
150Ṁ1871
resolved Feb 22
Resolved
YES

Might resolve YES, or might resolve NO

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#NameTotal profit
1Ṁ82
2Ṁ67
3Ṁ1
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predictedYES

It worked :)

Oh what happened can we not buy both yes and no shares wtf

@Dreamingpast is there any criteria for resolving @A or are you gonna resolve YES only

@Dreamingpast I wouldn't want to spoil the surprise :)

Wow, for a market that explicitly predicts nothing whatsoever, this has attracted a lot of interest!

predictedNO

@A Well you got the original 50Mana+extra 10 from each trader, so that's good. At this point, 1 Mana buys 22 NO shares, that's > +2000% increase in value. Net EV seems great, so it seems sensible to obtain some no shares even if it's unlikely to be chosen

predictedYES

@firstuserhere Yeah I'm not complaining, I'll take the free mana lol. Now we just gotta hope I don't make any mistakes when resolving this!

predictedNO

@A no no, that's exactly what I'm hoping

predictedNO

All your previous test markets have resolved YES. But, to an outsider, who doesn't know what the purpose of the test markets is, it seems reasonable to bet on NO

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