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MANIFOLD
Will ProMED report a novel influenza outbreak in Asia by March 31, 2026?
3
Ṁ100Ṁ71
resolved Apr 5
Resolved
NO

Resolves YES if ProMED-Mail reports a confirmed novel influenza outbreak (e.g., H5N1 human-to-human cluster) originating in Asia before April 1, 2026. Sources: Official ProMED posts only. This is an Altwese MVP for early pathogen detection via collective intelligence.

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