Yet another attempt to fix the "Will this close above 50%" market. (Exponent 0.6, see description…)
3
100Ṁ42Nov 14
49%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This market will resolve based on the sums of each trader's positions to the power 0.6 (before summing). For example, a user with 100 YES shares will contribute 15.85 points to the YES side. The side with the highest point total will be the one the market resolves to.
To discourage sniping, after each close, there is an 80% chance that the market will be extended for approximately 24h. (I will ask FairlyRandom for a number from 1-5, 1-4: extend, 5: resolve. This will be repeated every day until a 5 is rolled.)
Inspired by:
https://manifold.markets/JiaheLiu/an-attempt-to-fix-the-will-this-clo#0p0x2ozj3sne
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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