How much longer to reach 14 traders compared to 7?
14
100Ṁ1467
resolved Dec 13
Resolved
4.25 times as long
Resolved
YES
Above 2
Resolved
YES
Above 3
Resolved
YES
Above 4
Resolved
NO
Above 5

Experimental, I hope this one works out!

Every option is a threshold, not a bucket, so they overlap. When this market reaches 14 traders, I will calculate "(time from market creation to reach 14 traders) divided by (time from market creation to reach 7 traders)". All options that apply to the result will resolve YES, all others will resolve NO.

More ambitious previous version:

Question created: 24 Oct 2025, 17:55:47 UTC

Seventh trader reached: 5 Nov 2025, 16:09:18 UTC

That means the cut-off times and dates are as follows:

2 times as long: 17 Nov 2025, 14:22 UTC

3 times as long: 29 Nov 2025, 12:36 UTC

4 times as long: 11 Dec 2025, 10:49 UTC

5 times as long: 23 Dec 2025, 09:03 UTC


Keeping track of traders:

  1. vee

  2. dfish

  3. MaxE

  4. kamn

  5. TracyHarms

  6. TheAllMemeingEye

  7. 4fa

  8. ChristopherRandles

  9. harry

  10. winged_one

  11. someone8Nngy

  12. WobertqUIQz

  13. SimonWestlake

  14. Waffloid

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Ṁ1,000
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🏅 Top traders

#NameTotal profit
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2Ṁ4
3Ṁ4
4Ṁ3
5Ṁ3
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bought Ṁ150 NO

done

bought Ṁ5 NO

Just 2 people needed!

bought Ṁ20 NO
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