How much longer to reach 14 traders compared to 7?
5
100Ṁ111Dec 31
2.14 times as long
expected1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
51%
Above 2
50%
Above 3
31%
Above 4
17%
Above 5
Experimental, I hope this one works out!
Every option is a threshold, not a bucket, so they overlap. When this market reaches 14 traders, I will calculate "(time from market creation to reach 14 traders) divided by (time from market creation to reach 7 traders)". All options that apply to the result will resolve YES, all others will resolve NO.
More ambitious previous version:
Question created: 24 Oct 2025, 17:55:47 UTC
Keeping track of traders:
vee
dfish
MaxE
kamn
TracyHarms
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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