How much longer to reach 14 traders compared to 7?
5
100Ṁ111
Dec 31
2.14 times as long
expected
51%
Above 2
50%
Above 3
31%
Above 4
17%
Above 5

Experimental, I hope this one works out!

Every option is a threshold, not a bucket, so they overlap. When this market reaches 14 traders, I will calculate "(time from market creation to reach 14 traders) divided by (time from market creation to reach 7 traders)". All options that apply to the result will resolve YES, all others will resolve NO.

More ambitious previous version:

Question created: 24 Oct 2025, 17:55:47 UTC


Keeping track of traders:

  1. vee

  2. dfish

  3. MaxE

  4. kamn

  5. TracyHarms

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