How many views will 3Blue1Brown's topology video reach by January 29, 2025?
Basic
19
Ṁ1821
resolved Jan 29
Resolved
YES
850'000
Resolved
YES
900'000
Resolved
YES
950'000
Resolved
YES
1'000'000
Resolved
YES
1'050'000
Resolved
YES
800'000
Resolved
NO
1'100'000
Resolved
NO
1'200'000
Resolved
NO
1'400'000
Resolved
NO
1'600'000

One week ago, the popular math YouTuber 3Blue1Brown released the video "This Open Problem Taught Me What Topology Is".

How many views will YouTube display for the embedded video when I check on January 29th, four weeks from now?

Inspired by the following and similar @Ziddletwix markets: https://manifold.markets/Ziddletwix/how-many-views-will-3blue1browns-bu

  • Update 2025-01-29 (PST): - Resolution Time: The market will resolve based on the market closing time (2025-01-29T19:11:00.000Z) rather than "four weeks from market creation". (AI summary of creator comment)

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Ṁ1,000
and
S3.00

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filled aṀ5 YES at 96% order

@PoliticalEconomyPK I hope you've seen my comment below and are aware that the closing date is very soon.

@4fa ive seen it

The description saying "when I check on January 29th" is in case I cannot be online and check when the market closes. However, I am intend to use the market closing time as the relevant time to resolve whether milestones have been reached or not. We are actually already past exactly "four weeks from [market creation]", but I think more traders check the market closing time rather than adding four weeks to the market creation time.

reposted

I might postpone resolving "1,000,000" until tomorrow, in case someone wants to take the free mana.

opened a Ṁ2 YES at 77% order

I might postpone resolving "900,000" until tomorrow, in case someone wants to take the free mana.

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