Skip to main content
MANIFOLD
Do you like 62% odds?
6
Ṁ10kṀ185
resolved Jun 24
Resolved
YES

I would like to test how different odds influence betting behavior. After the market closes, I will call @FairlyRandom to generate a number from 1 to 100. If the number is between 1 and 62 (inclusive), this market resolves to YES; otherwise, it resolves to NO. I will also record betting behavior for this and related markets with varying odds and analyze the data statistically to look for patterns in participants’ decisions.

Fun
Psychology
FairlyRandom
Behavior
Unranked
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!

🏅 Top traders

#TraderTotal profit
1Ṁ30
2Ṁ12
3Ṁ6
4Ṁ3

People are also trading

Sort by:

@FairlyRandom 100

🤖

@4fa you asked for a random integer between 1 and 100, inclusive. Coming up shortly!

Source: GitHub, previous round: 6229931 (latest), offset: 2, selected round: 6229933, salt: 3hmzf33fbiy.

🤖

@4fa your random number is: 15

Salt: 3hmzf33fbiy, round: 6229933 (signature 96973ea0b3cf9a06b4d8a37e69475a2854c0ae8f9c07308a7172fe1cd2cbad210a8daf35cc34c2f354d8259c242025241336cad421ce03479e8e8611ecb5e623546f74e318f36e5fbe15be378c3df867b6ff35b3a80ace3cc15e01629fc364b7)

(deleted)

@100Anonymous I have answered this question several times before. I don't want to influence behavior before I'm done. It's also harder to automate the analysis than anticipated. Finally, if you have a specific question, I can try to figure it out and DM you preliminary results.

@4fa ok ok fine, was confused at first. @mods please ignore

People are also trading