MANIFOLD
Do you like 44% odds?
7
Ṁ1kṀ255
resolved Feb 22
Resolved
NO

I would like to test how different odds influence betting behavior. After the market closes, I will call @FairlyRandom to generate a number from 1 to 100. If the number is between 1 and 44, this market resolves to YES; otherwise, it resolves to NO. I will also record betting behavior for this and related markets with varying odds and analyze the data statistically to look for patterns in participants’ decisions.

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🤖

@4fa your random number is: 92

Salt: qx1w55h34ub, round: 5877429 (signature a5653bfbef899583ebe897b9c99ac6d05acbfded8cd187be09681093c404962bbf817ca93ebdc91ea6fd320f172b97960ffaebedb3d4f6bb5423f478e4ca19ad01322928331a0f094098f8754284dedab5b79ca18e005c97f8760a9fe6b3d311)

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@4fa you asked for a random integer between 1 and 100, inclusive. Coming up shortly!

Source: GitHub, previous round: 5877427 (latest), offset: 2, selected round: 5877429, salt: qx1w55h34ub.

@FairlyRandom 100

Is your recorded data so far available somewhere? What kind of timeline do you have for performing analysis?

@JussiVilleHeiskanen I think I want to go through a total of 40–50 markets before I publish results to avoid influencing people. Currently, I am creating 1–2 markets per week, so it might take a bit longer. If you have a specific question you are interested in, let me know, and I can DM you any findings.

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