MANIFOLD
Do you like 28% odds?
47
Ṁ10kṀ7.5k
resolved Mar 7
Resolved
YES

I would like to test how different odds influence betting behavior. After the market closes, I will call @FairlyRandom to generate a number from 1 to 100. If the number is between 1 and 28, this market resolves to YES; otherwise, it resolves to NO. I will also record betting behavior for this and related markets with varying odds and analyze the data statistically to look for patterns in participants’ decisions.

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@mods Please unrank.

Is there a way that I can immediately unrank these markets when creating them via the API? The UI does not let me add the nonpredictive tag, but I can try it with the API if that makes your work easier.

Oh hell yeah! My biggest win yet lol

🤖

@4fa your random number is: 18

Salt: jcnao7q1dwc, round: 5916162 (signature 90980a0800497773bba6893d1e9f8d71fd007c6f2e955ab821e2e5d1be80ba213674a24b284742e3fc0127805d85b1bd17d176267b21d50e80424e5fc4fe8beb2003c9ff98636447302443ec98bd39cfad598d3f37f442dc3ec6ff4dce5b6593)

🤖

@4fa you asked for a random integer between 1 and 100, inclusive. Coming up shortly!

Source: GitHub, previous round: 5916160 (latest), offset: 2, selected round: 5916162, salt: jcnao7q1dwc.

Very impressive that the the market stabilized at 28%...the EV for an individual trader...maybe public trades promote some kind of 'anti-gambling' incentive?

bought Ṁ10 YES

Lets go baby! Roll that dice! 28 OR BELOW!!!! WOOOO

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