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MANIFOLD
Do you like 26% odds?
30
Ṁ10kṀ10k
resolved Aug 14
Resolved
YES

I would like to test how different odds influence betting behavior. After the market closes, I will call @FairlyRandom to generate a number from 1 to 100. If the number is between 1 and 26 (inclusive), this market resolves to YES; otherwise, it resolves to NO. I will also record betting behavior for this and related markets with varying odds and analyze the data statistically to look for patterns in participants’ decisions.

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@FairlyRandom 100

🤖

@4fa you asked for a random integer between 1 and 100, inclusive. Coming up shortly!

Source: GitHub, previous round: 6376791 (latest), offset: 2, selected round: 6376793, salt: kugc6phvh3r.

🤖

@4fa your random number is: 12

Salt: kugc6phvh3r, round: 6376793 (signature a4c29b17da5855171178727e8215b0b60da3f2c2e601a92cc7c7dcedf44d8f9ba8322a3e17c881b56a4629770ac61ff1023a0dfdc668b9cc2492cfb3392bde33721739966e6a5830faa8cb9df80ee1cb00d2c4406a2a6b773b02a78af0bb3a37)

26% odds is great depending what we're wagering on. Sometimes you know the odds are 50-50 and you're getting a better price at 26% odds.

sold Ṁ1 YES

@Web3ICP Well, here the odds truly are 26-74 and you get a better YES price at 25% or lower and a better NO price at 27% or higher.

bought Ṁ300 YES
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