The popular math YouTuber 3Blue1Brown has recently released How To Measure the Universe | The Cosmic Distance Ladder Part 2.
How many views will YouTube display for the embedded video when I check on April 3rd around 19:00 UTC?
Inspired by the following and similar @Ziddletwix markets: https://manifold.markets/Ziddletwix/how-many-views-will-3blue1browns-bu
Update 2025-03-19 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Resolution Threshold Update:
The market will resolve to YES if the view count is above 700,000.
This resolution trigger will occur after a participant (including the creator) claims the free mana.
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"Above 700,000" will resolve to YES after someone* takes the free mana.
*) including me, if I get impatient
@mods When I try to resolve the first option, I get this "APIError: answerId field is only allowed for multiple choice markets".