▶️ How many views will 3Blue1Brown's second video with Terence Tao, Distance Ladder Part 2, have in one month (3 April)?
13
100Ṁ1507
resolved Apr 3
Resolved
712,500 views
Resolved
YES
Above 600,000
Resolved
YES
Above 650,000
Resolved
YES
Above 700,000
Resolved
NO
Above 750,000

The popular math YouTuber 3Blue1Brown has recently released How To Measure the Universe | The Cosmic Distance Ladder Part 2.

How many views will YouTube display for the embedded video when I check on April 3rd around 19:00 UTC?

Inspired by the following and similar @Ziddletwix markets: https://manifold.markets/Ziddletwix/how-many-views-will-3blue1browns-bu

  • Update 2025-03-19 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Resolution Threshold Update:

    • The market will resolve to YES if the view count is above 700,000.

    • This resolution trigger will occur after a participant (including the creator) claims the free mana.

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748,867 views

sold Ṁ2 NO

"Above 700,000" will resolve to YES after someone* takes the free mana.

*) including me, if I get impatient

opened a Ṁ93 YES at 99.0% order

@mods When I try to resolve the first option, I get this "APIError: answerId field is only allowed for multiple choice markets".

@4fa will push a fix!

@ian Thanks! Great new market type too, btw!

@4fa should be ready now

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