Skip to main content
MANIFOLD
🧮 How far away from the closest prime will the number of traders in this market be after sqrt(#traders) weeks?
12
Ṁ100Ṁ1.3k
resolved Sep 18
100%63%
1
21%
0
10%
2
6%Other
Market context
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!

🏅 Top traders

#TraderTotal profit
1Ṁ24
2Ṁ19
3Ṁ6
4Ṁ5
5Ṁ2
Sort by:

Closing time has been updated for trader number 12.

Closing time has been updated for trader number 11.

Closing time has been updated for trader number 10.

Closing time updated for trader number 9.

boughtṀ201 YES

@ijk1 Think Ij Kayone was hoping it would stay closed long enough that it couldn't be reopened. Sets a big incentive for someone new to jump in. The periods where it is possible to reopen will get shorter ...

bought Ṁ1 YES

Of course if someone jumps in early now with a small bet on 0 then perhaps there isn't the incentive for someone new to jump in at last minute so maybe that large bet works?

@ChristopherRandles I was trusting our host to keep the close time up to date rather than computing it myself.

@ijk1 @4fa
Sorry I was confused about what happened.

But does it now appear 4fa is deliberately keeping close time early rather than setting it to what it should be as indicated in the description?
7*sqrt(7)=18.52
25 Aug 14:46 +18.52 days = 13 Sept 03:15 ? (note that times depend on timezones so you may need to adjust this.)

No sorry wrong again.
Current close time is 7*sqrt 6 + 25 Aug 2024 14:46. So it just hasn't been adjusted for last new trader.

I had, in fact, updated the date for trader number 6, but I was off by a day. Sorry again for the confusion. It is now updated for trader number 7.

Sorry, this closed prematurely.

It’d be easier to bet here if you could add liquidity, by the way!

How do you resolve it if the distance to the closest prime is not an integer? Edit: never mind, it’s the distance of the number of traders, not of the sqrt