Will OpenAI's next foundation model score at least 75% in MMMU?
Basic
4
Ṁ86
resolved Sep 16
Resolved
YES

This question is about the MMMU benchmark, not the MMLU benchmark where many models already achieve over 75% accuracy.

Resolve this to YES if OpenAI's next generation foundation model* achieves an average score of at least 75% on the MMMU benchmark.

While prompt engineering could potentially boost performance after the release, I'm not sure how long it might take to realize those gains. So rather than waiting, I'll simply resolve this question once OpenAI releases their next foundation model iteration.

*GPT-4o doesn't count; the model must not be included in the GPT-4 family by OpenAI.


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https://manifold.markets/3684/will-openais-nextgen-mathfocused-mo

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gpt4 scores 56.8, correct?

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